- Monthly organic visits, all propertiesProfile default, editable
- Sample number. Replace with organic sessions across all property sites from GA4.
- Visit to booking engine searchProfile default 15 to 28%, editable
- Derived by us from two older datasets reported by 80 DAYS (eHotelier, 27 Oct 2020): hotel groups 1.9% website conversion and 6.8% booking engine conversion (h2c 2020 Global IBE and Metasearch Study, 76 chains, 2019 data), which implies about 28%; independents 0.73% and 3.28% (Hotel Benchmark, 550 hotels, 2019 data, 96% of them 4 and 5 star), which implies about 22%. Directional.
- Booking engine conversionHotel groups 6.8%; independents 3.28%; profile default 2.5 to 6.8%
- h2c 2020 Global IBE and Metasearch Study and Hotel Benchmark, both 2019 data, as reported by 80 DAYS via eHotelier (Oct 2020). Older data and different samples, so the gap between groups and independents is indicative.
- Website conversion by device and sourceDesktop 2.5 to 3.5%; mobile 0.5 to 1.5%; organic search 1.55%; Google Hotel Ads 4.17%
- RoomStay (Feb 2026), a booking engine vendor; the device and source figures carry no named source, and the page's own overall average is stated two different ways. Shown as context, not used in the formula.
- Average booking valueSample $375 ($150 ADR x 2.5 nights); resort profile $900 ($300 x 3 nights)
- The $150 ADR is the example rate in Hotel Online (Robert A. Rauch, Sep 2026). Nights and the resort rate are assumptions. Replace with ADR x average length of stay from your PMS.
- OTA commission15 to 25% of the room rate
- Hotel Online (Robert A. Rauch, Sep 2026): commissions tend to run 15 to 25 percent of the room rate. Preferred placement programmes raise the effective rate; check your own contracts.
- Cost of a direct bookingAbout $3 to $7 per booking; roughly 5% of revenue
- Hotel Online (Sep 2026) for the dollar range after card fees and loyalty perks; Stayntouch (Aug 2026, updated Oct 2026) for roughly 5% direct acquisition cost against OTA commissions that can reach 20%. Vendor and operator estimates.
- OTA commission avoided15% of direct room revenue added by the model
- Assumption: a 20% OTA commission (Hotel Online's example) less about 5% direct booking cost (Stayntouch), and every added direct booking would otherwise have come through an OTA. That makes it an upper bound; lower it if some of those guests would have booked direct anyway.
- Visit ramp multipliersExpected 2.00 at M12; conservative 1.55 at M12
- Assumption, adjustable. Flat for months 0 to 2 while tracking and property pages ship, then rising as destination pages index, shaped to the 60 to 90 day long-tail and 9 to 18 month head term estimates in US Tech Automations (Jul 2026, citing Search Engine Journal benchmarks).
- Conversion ramp multipliersExpected 1.30 from M8; conservative 1.12 from M8
- Assumption, adjustable. Stands for booking engine fixes on mobile and a larger share of visits landing on property, room and offer pages instead of general content.
- Revenue timing lag0 months (counted at booking); 2 months for the seasonal resort profile (counted at stay)
- Assumption, adjustable. Set it to your median booking window if you report room revenue by stay date.
- Seasonal content timingLive 60 to 180 days before the booking window
- US Tech Automations (Jul 2026), agency blog: 4 to 6 months ahead for beach resorts, 6 to 8 months for ski destinations. Used to schedule the month 7 and month 11 work, not in the formula.
- A healthy channel mix40 to 55% direct, 30 to 45% OTA, 10 to 20% corporate and negotiated
- Hotel Online (Robert A. Rauch, Sep 2026), an operator's recommendation for an independent hotel in 2026, not a measured average; the author says the exact numbers depend on market, seasonality and brand status. Shown as context.